Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.035889 0.039210 0.042571 0.046221 0.050068 0.053996 0.058301
2025-09-07 0.031408 0.036367 0.041566 0.047400 0.053738 0.060392 0.067881
2025-09-14 0.027729 0.033842 0.040457 0.048088 0.056591 0.065722 0.076213
2025-09-21 0.024547 0.031472 0.039185 0.048306 0.058696 0.070068 0.083361
2025-09-28 0.022650 0.030324 0.039086 0.049667 0.061939 0.075579 0.091740
2025-10-05 0.019981 0.028013 0.037426 0.049039 0.062755 0.078232 0.096811
2025-10-12 0.018069 0.026439 0.036484 0.049113 0.064267 0.081590 0.102617
2025-10-19 0.016692 0.025401 0.036082 0.049739 0.066352 0.085556 0.109087
2025-10-26 0.015668 0.024722 0.036048 0.050748 0.068848 0.089974 0.116069
2025-11-02 0.013532 0.022425 0.033843 0.048958 0.067859 0.090191 0.118055
2025-11-09 0.012201 0.021107 0.032805 0.048547 0.068488 0.092284 0.122218
2025-11-16 0.011020 0.019906 0.031842 0.048166 0.069099 0.094315 0.126278
2025-11-23 0.010560 0.019726 0.032251 0.049587 0.072020 0.099232 0.133917
2025-11-30 0.009974 0.019319 0.032325 0.050557 0.074374 0.103470 0.140769
2025-12-07 0.009310 0.018745 0.032134 0.051151 0.076235 0.107102 0.146898
2025-12-14 0.008568 0.017995 0.031652 0.051321 0.077528 0.110019 0.152154
2025-12-21 0.008255 0.017895 0.032077 0.052709 0.080399 0.114912 0.159855
2025-12-28 0.007378 0.016814 0.031034 0.052045 0.080555 0.116376 0.163313
2026-01-04 0.006776 0.016140 0.030546 0.052116 0.081655 0.119016 0.168223
2026-01-11 0.006373 0.015769 0.030485 0.052763 0.083507 0.122606 0.174319
2026-01-18 0.006096 0.015599 0.030713 0.053811 0.085894 0.126884 0.181289
2026-01-25 0.005167 0.014171 0.028944 0.051950 0.084315 0.126039 0.181794
2026-02-01 0.004636 0.013424 0.028195 0.051524 0.084653 0.127643 0.185376